NBA results
Results
How predictable was the slate?
The grades
skill = percent better than a know-nothing guess · vs line = games read sharper than the close
This week’s competition
How the flags are doing
Skill = 1 − Brier ÷ baseline, against a know-nothing prior: a coin flip in two-way sports, a uniform split in three-way. Lines freeze at tip-off and are graded against the result.